Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 21.714839 25.009238 28.558728 32.658098 37.252345 42.232605 48.029741
2025-10-12 16.950282 21.733043 27.357724 34.413570 42.976734 52.978558 65.486108
2025-10-19 13.547246 18.931196 25.716675 34.789205 46.480611 60.907724 79.907150
2025-10-26 11.165081 16.798290 24.326781 34.940605 49.303963 67.826389 93.235666
2025-11-02 9.223008 14.846755 22.772317 34.485498 51.030397 73.192816 104.672207
2025-11-09 7.682654 13.176793 21.310778 33.861597 52.287506 77.818880 115.211550
2025-11-16 6.431513 11.721698 19.928356 33.112113 53.169176 81.831655 124.987724
2025-11-23 5.300282 10.264434 18.329631 31.805926 53.024245 84.251660 132.515103
2025-11-30 4.832531 9.841363 18.293960 32.875459 56.475142 92.028971 148.123521
2025-12-07 4.435023 9.476150 18.294550 33.968679 59.993606 100.054253 164.461974
2025-12-14 3.815582 8.602370 17.316226 33.320687 60.642339 103.685920 174.299853
2025-12-21 3.255559 7.750051 16.265610 32.423000 60.768624 106.446161 182.858756
2025-12-28 3.120635 7.768254 16.865414 34.584940 66.356175 118.479931 207.029018
2026-01-04 2.934559 7.658834 17.227781 36.381805 71.506629 130.201294 231.491330
2026-01-11 2.615761 7.201813 16.853795 36.767910 74.201876 138.024012 250.057550
2026-01-18 2.317488 6.734157 16.392551 36.925347 76.469891 145.220334 267.912717
2026-01-25 2.005865 6.171279 15.653574 36.447910 77.507675 150.330433 282.485403
2026-02-01 1.724970 5.625811 14.873722 35.793594 78.134641 154.717348 295.990732
2026-02-08 1.475136 5.106521 14.076426 35.007504 78.421787 158.476433 308.541210
2026-02-15 1.226636 4.530961 13.061772 33.637240 77.430659 159.833167 316.898516
2026-02-22 1.147118 4.433365 13.180325 34.759267 81.500172 170.654925 342.503391
2026-03-01 1.075191 4.344018 13.306794 35.905889 85.686170 181.881256 369.284788
2026-03-08 0.926984 3.974929 12.668170 35.226274 86.019777 185.845958 383.021605